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The Attack on Pearl Harbor: Strategy, Combat, Myths, Deceptions Kindle Edition

4.4 4.4 out of 5 stars 192 ratings
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“Uses modern methods of operational analysis to determine exactly how the Japanese planned and executed the great raid . . . a worthy, useful analysis” (Naval History).

The December 7, 1941 attack on Pearl Harbor has been portrayed by historians as a dazzling success. With most American historians concentrating on command errors and the story of participants’ experiences, the Japanese attack has never been subjected to a comprehensive critical analysis of the military side of the operation.

This book presents a detailed evaluation of the attack on the operational and tactical level. It examines such questions as: Was the strategy underlying the attack sound? Were there flaws in planning or execution? How did Japanese military culture influence the planning? How risky was the attack? What did the Japanese expect to achieve, compared to what they did achieve? Were there Japanese blunders? What were their consequences? What might have been the results if the attack had not benefited from the mistakes of the American commanders?

The book also addresses the body of folklore about the attack, assessing contentious issues such as the skill level of the Japanese aircrew; whether mini submarines torpedoed
Oklahoma and Arizona, as has been recently claimed; whether the Japanese ever really considered launching a third-wave attack—and the consequences for the Naval Shipyard and the fuel storage tanks if it had been executed. In addition, the analysis has detected for the first time deceptions that a prominent Japanese participant in the attack placed into the historical record, most likely to conceal his blunders and enhance his reputation.

The centerpiece of the book is an analysis using modern Operations Research methods and computer simulations, as well as combat models developed between 1922 and 1946 at the US Naval War College. The analysis sheds new light on the strategy and tactics employed by Yamamoto to open the Pacific War, and offers a dramatically different appraisal of the effectiveness of the attack on Pearl Harbor.
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Editorial Reviews

Review

“…examines every aspect of the attack and uses operations research techniques to critique the planning and performance of the Japanese forces and compare the results with expectations.”
Seapower

“…proves an engrossing study, particularly for those considering themselves well-read on the topic…. it is even more interesting for those with ample knowledge of events in World War II's Pacific Theater of Operations leading up to, on, and following December 7, 1941. For a variety of reasons, including the provocative nature of many of Zimm's fact-built arguments, this reviewer does not hesitate to recommend..."
Globe at War

"... essential reading for anyone interested in the operation or the opening phases of the Pacific War…"
StrategyPage

“…uses modern methods of operational analysis to determine exactly how the Japanese planned and executed the great raid…a worthy, useful analysis…”
Naval History Magazine

“…nothing previously published has offered such a close examination of Japanese strategy…an in depth study of the Japanese planning, preparation and execution of the attack with particular focus on factors not thoroughly considered by other historians, if at all…full of revelations that counter common perceptions…detailed analyses that lead to a much better understanding of what the Japanese did, why they did it and especially how the attack was very nearly an abject failure instead of a stunning success.”
Proceedings

“Zimm's conclusions will remain definitive for the foreseeable future… So, by all means, reread Gordon Prange's At Dawn We Slept, but definitely read Alan Zimm's Attack on Pearl Harbor for a fuller and more up-to-date understanding of an event that changed history and continues to fascinate.”
Michigan War Studies Review

“Dr. Zimm provides a solid analysis, and at the same time knows how to maintain a healthy critical distance vis-à-vis the literature (historical records, autobiographical accounts, official reports) which he puts to good use.”
Politique Etrangere

“An interesting analysis of the strategy and tactics involved. Instead of “the most daring and brilliant naval operations of all time”, Zimm demonstrates that the Japanese carrier strike force did not plan the attack very well, nor did they train effectively for it… an interesting new “look” at this opening gambit in the Pacific Theater of World War II.
The Past in Review

“…very thorough …as an analysis of the raid from the Japanese point of reference it is very intriguing and goes far to display the old axiom “every plan changes (or falls apart) once the enemy is encountered”.
IPMS/USA

“It is not often that one can say that an outstanding book transforms our knowledge of a well –known event but this can be said of Alan Zimm’s Attack on Pearl Harbor….groundbreaking…sets straight the record of a key historical event…essential reading…”
Dr. Eric Grove, Navy News

"This is a very impressive contribution to the literature on Pearl Harbor. Zimm makes a very convincing argument for his view that the Japanese plan was flawed in many ways, but was saved by a combination of luck and the skill of the crews of the few torpedo bombers that actually hit important targets."
History of War

“Alan D. Zimm applies his considerable professional experience in operations research and combat simulations design to a novel assessment of the Japanese raid on Pearl Harbor. It is an ambitious undertaking to fins something new to say about one of the most analyzed military engagements in history, but Zimm has managed to do so…must reading for any serious student of the Pacific War.”
International Journal of Maritime History

“…the first militarily professional description of the Pearl Harbor attack, and for those who are serious about military history and operations, it is a joy to read… a superb military analysis of the attack…not only rendered all other histories of Pearl Harbor obsolete, it has set the bar high got other histories of the Pacific War.”
War in History

‘Anyone with a serious interest in understanding the Pearl Harbor attack in its many aspects, both for what actually happened and for what might have happened under alternative circumstances, should read this new book for the invaluable analytical rigor and intellectual exploration that it brings to the subject. “
Warship International Vol 49, No 1

“…takes a very interesting approach…an arguably better and clearer analysis of what the Japanese did, could have done, and should have done. An amazing amount of detailed research on the part of a very fastidious individual has gone into this very valuable work.”
Work Boat World

“…takes a very interesting approach…analyses the known facts and data using modern research techniques. The result is an arguably better and clearer analysis of what the Japanese did, could have done, and should have done. An amazing amount of detailed research on the part of a very fastidious individual has gone into this very valuable work.”
Ausmarine

“ What Alan Zimm has done is to use Japanese information and not the uncorroborated thoughts of Mitsuo Fuchida, , who is now well known for being “careless with the truth”. With this information, Zimm has carried out a bottom up analysis of the attack in the first eight chapters covering the strategic and operational setting , the targets (and it is clear that these were the Pacific Fleet’s battleships and not the aircraft carriers), the weapons and weapon- target pairings, the war games, planning, training, rehearsals, briefings etc followed by the execution of the attack. He goes on to assess the attack, the attle damage and the folklore…..clearly this is not a primer for someone wishing to learn about the Pearl Harbor Attack . Rather, it is a thorough analysis of many aspects of the attack, completely overturning conventional wisdom.
The Northern Mariner

"Readers will be left with a great deal to think about and consider new aspects of the attack that are illuminated in Zimm’s book. This excellent analysis is a definitive critique of the Japanese planning and execution of the attack. For any serious student of the Pacific War, the volume makes for fascinating, “must” reading and should be included among the very best books on the Pearl Harbor attack."
Naval Historical Foundation

“For seven decades, conventional wisdom has extolled the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor as brilliant in its planning and execution… masterful analysis topples that pillar of Pacific War history... with its amazing depth of meticulous research and analysis, this forceful book is essential reading for anyone with a serious interest in Pearl Harbor.”
World War II

About the Author

Dr. Alan D. Zimm is a member of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory, where he heads a section in the Aviation Systems and Advanced Concepts Group. He is a former officer in the US Navy, completing his service as a Commander, and holds degrees in Physics, Operations Research, and Public Administration with a concentration on Policy Analysis and Strategic Planning.

Product details

  • ASIN ‏ : ‎ B004VRW1Z0
  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ Casemate (May 6, 2011)
  • Publication date ‏ : ‎ May 6, 2011
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • File size ‏ : ‎ 6389 KB
  • Text-to-Speech ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • Screen Reader ‏ : ‎ Supported
  • Enhanced typesetting ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • X-Ray ‏ : ‎ Not Enabled
  • Word Wise ‏ : ‎ Enabled
  • Sticky notes ‏ : ‎ On Kindle Scribe
  • Print length ‏ : ‎ 465 pages
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.4 4.4 out of 5 stars 192 ratings

About the author

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Alan Zimm
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Alan D. Zimm is a member of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory’s Principal Professional Staff, serving as Section Leader in the Aviation Systems and Advanced Concepts Group. He received a B.S. in physics from UCLA, a M.S. in Operations Research from The Naval Postgraduate School, and a doctorate from the School of Policy, Planning, and Development at the University of Southern California, with a concentration in Policy Analysis and Strategic Planning.

A former naval officer, he served as a nuclear power qualified surface warfare officer with over fourteen years of sea duty in carriers, cruisers, destroyers and hydrofoils. He was the executive officer aboard USS Pegasus (PHM-1) during her record setting run through the Panama Canal, a record likely to hold up since the Canal no longer allows hydrofoils to transit while foilborne. He completed his service as a Commander, USN.

At APL, Dr. Zimm has performed and led studies of the J-UCAS in maritime defense, Offensive Anti-Surface Warfare Analysis of Alternatives, DD(X) design trade studies, Advanced Gun System trade studies and effectiveness analyses, trade studies employing Naval Surface Fire Support with guns, aircraft, field artillery and missiles in an expeditionary warfare context, studies to define and evaluate the characteristics of surface-launched anti-ship missiles, studies on Maneuver Warfare doctrine, and mathematical modeling of economic social systems.

He has published extensively, with over 90 books and journal articles in the fields of naval and military history, decision theory, chaos and organizational theory, military strategy and theory, and computer combat modeling and simulations. He published an award-winning computer simulation modeling World War II naval surface warfare. His most recent book is “Attack on Pearl Harbor: Strategy, Combat, Myths, Deceptions,” published in May of 2011.

Dr. Zimm received the 1999 Arleigh Burke Award from the U. S. Naval Institute. He was awarded a Hafstad fellowship in 2002 and a Janney fellowship in 1998, and was awarded a Reining Award Distinguished Citation from the University of Southern California in 2003. Dr. Zimm is an honorary life member of the United States Naval Institute and a member of the Military Operations Research Society.

Customer reviews

4.4 out of 5 stars
4.4 out of 5
192 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on November 5, 2015
One of the most surprising books I've read on WWII history - and I'm pretty well read as both an avocation as well as studies in university. Although Zimm is a naval officer, this reads more like a carefully researched historian's work. There has been a considerable amount of mythology and repeated statements in the record of Pearl Harbor, and this work consider them in detail. Unlike many other historical treatments, this is ALSO a review of the engagement, in terms of how and why it happened the way it did. He does this from not only a historical perspective, but from the vantage of a military planner. For example, most armchair historians know that the USS West Virginia and USS Oklahoma were torpedoed and sunk. Why were they singled out? Zimm points out that the approach paths for attacking the other battleships were technically very difficult, requiring a low approach over alternating water and land from the south (exerting alternating uplift and downdraft on the torpedo bomber), and then with only a very limited time to drop the weapon into the harbor. The West Virginia and Okhlahoma, on the other hand, had clear over-water runs up one of the channels, making it a far easier attack from a technical perspective. The author is also quite objective, noting for example that the pilot who put a torpedo into the USS California had an extremely difficult task, flying a curved approach to a short drop - which he did to near perfection. These are NOT the type of things you read in other discussions of Pearl Harbor.

We're taught by both the historian's literature and the popular works that the attack was planned exhaustively and executed to perfection. Zimm points out that neither of these were the case. The planning was flawed in many ways, for example leaving a whole attack group allocated to aircraft carriers, even though intelligence unambiguously indicated that no carriers were in port. This wasted or at least mis-applied a fairly significant proportion of the first attack wave. The cherished notion that ships could be sunk in the channel to prevent the port from being used is exposed as completely impossible, since the channels were so wide that it would take TWO large ships, sunk end-to-end at exact right angles at the critical point. (The channel was about 1400 feet wide, and battleships were about 650 feet long by 100 feet wide.) In other words, without the active cooperation of at least one American captain, the planners had no hope of blocking the channel, so orders to attempt to block the channel should not have been issued, and the expenditure of a considerable proportion of the second wave's dive bombers should not have been expended on attempting to sink the USS Nevada in the channel.

Also considered are a variety of misconceptions (and a few outright lies) that have grown up around the event. For example, it is certainly true that the Fleet was at anchor in peacetime drill on the 7th of December. However, few realize that the attack had actually been planned for two weeks earlier (November 26th) - and that moreover, the whole base had been at high alert for the entire month before the actual attack. Had the attack actually been launched on Nov 26th as originally planned, the outcome would very likely have been quite different. Still a serious result for the US Pacific Fleet, but probably nothing like the completely one-sided catastrophe that actually occurred.

Other authors have castigated the Japanese planning methods for being entirely biased and in fact actually "rigged." Evidence of the latter is given by others as the war gaming referees "resurrecting" lost or damaged ships in the exercise. Zimm explains the wargaming methodology and in the process one realizes that such a "resurrection" might well be an entirely valid action. For example, if a force runs over a minefield and ships are sunk, the planners may make note of the fact and order in minesweepers in the event. The loss of the ships would then be irrelevant, so putting them back on the board to continue war gaming the remaining part of the plan is an entirely valid and unbiased method. He also notes that in some cases such changes were in fact reflected in the plans, and that in others, the suitable changes were NOT in fact ordered. This is a much more even-handed treatment than the common narrative.

Even if one does not completely agree with the very surprising different narrative, the author defends his analysis very well. Such analysis, at minimum, should cause everyone to consider why they agree or disagree with any given narrative - and that's the function of a work of historical analysis.

To me, this is probably the single most thoughtful and informative analysis of any WWI or WWII action that I've read.

Highly recommended.
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Reviewed in the United States on May 23, 2011
The Japanese decision attack the United States in December 1941 was insane. I'll come back to this statement later.

As mentioned in earlier reviews, this book uses modern operations research techniques to analyze the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor at the levels of strategy, operations and tactics. In the process the reader learns the difference between deterministic and stochastic models of the efficiency of hits by bombs, torpedoes and shells on warships. The reader is also presented with many useful tables showing things like torpedo hit probabilities and ship damage possibilities under different attack scenarios. These tables are based on pre and post-war US and Japanese war college studies or on results of other naval battles during World War II. There are many good maps and many good photographs.

The overall conclusion of the author is that the Pearl Harbor attack was poorly planned and executed at strategic, operational and tactical levels. At an operational level the plan worked, but only by chance. By this I mean that the Japanese carriers reached their launch point north of Oahu without being detected, and their first attack wave achieved a surprise attack. But this operational success resulted from luck and poor American reconnaissance. Toward the end of the book the author mentions that any type of reasonable precautions such as dawn fighter patrols off Oahu, or a properly manned control room able to react to the early radar contact with the incoming Japanese strike would have led to a massacre of the Japanese aircraft.

There is a new interpretation of the goals of the Imperial Japanese Navy and Admiral Yamamoto, the driving force behind the attack on Pearl Harbor. The author argues convincingly that Yamamoto's first targets were American battleships, not American aircraft carriers. Yamamoto believed that immediately sinking one or more American battleships at the outbreak of the war would destroy American will to fight. This idea is not in line with most previous studies. Yamamoto is usually presented as a carrier oriented officer who would have wanted to strike American carriers first. The author seems to believe that battleships first was a rational goal, assuming weak US morale, since most wars end when one side decides it is no longer worth fighting, rather than by the complete destruction of one side.

Interestingly, the author also shows that the Japanese aviators deviated from Yamamoto's goals by allocating more aircraft against carriers than would have been required if battleships were the primary target. As the author states, it is not good when goals of the most senior commanders are superseded by those of lower level officers!

A tactical planning shortfall effecting Japanese success was the failure of the various types of naval aircraft to practice together before the attack. Training in Japan during October and November of 1941 was done separately for the fighters, dive bombers, torpedo bombers, and level bombers. I knew that the Japanese navy and army did not cooperate, but had no idea that combined training by the air components was also fragmented. The author points out that this lack of joint training was a prelude to the failure of the different types of Japanese aircraft to properly support each other during the attack on Pearl Harbor.

Also on the tactical planning level the author is highly critical of the allocation of strike aircraft to various Oahu targets, the way the planned strike tracks for aircraft were allowed to cross on their final approach runs over the harbor, and the failure of the torpedo planes to provide mutual support during the first attack. The author also argues that the allocation of dive bombers during the second wave attack was horribly wrong. Other details concern things like a high rate of duds among the Japanese bombs, and the poor to non-existent central control over the first Japanese strike aircraft as they made their final approach to Pearl Harbor.

Now back to my opening sentence. The Japanese started a war against the United States, with more than 6 times the industrial power, based on wrong assumptions about the willingness of the American people to fight. Willingness they regarded as weak. So the Japanese military, politicians, and Admiral Yamamoto himself, bet the future of the country on a wild gamble. A strategic gamble they would surely lose in a long war. Yamamoto may have come up with the best way to take advantage of this assumption about American will to fight, but it was a wrong assumption. Japan was almost destroyed on the resulting war. I repeat, the Japanese decision to enter the war was insane. That is just my definition of "insane", but I hardly know what else to call it.

As mentioned by a previous reviewer the book could have been better edited. Two important facts repeated almost word by word in the book are: The pre-attack engine setting experiments that led to greatly extending the range of the Japanese Zero fighter, and the number of American fighters that managed to get in the air during the first attack and the number of kills they made. I noted a number of smaller editing errors, including an event set in 1942 that obviously occurred in 1941.

One reviewer mentioned an online article about the British carrier attack on Taranto that might have been usefully cited by the author of this book. I found the article and it argues that the British planning of their attack on Taranto suffered from some of the same tactical failings that the Japanese demonstrated at Pearl Harbor. I am sure there is some lesson here, but I am not sure what it is.

In summary, I enjoyed reading this book, as it gives a much different take on the Pearl Harbor attack and backs its interpretation with a lot of facts. I would not have been able to write such a long review if the book did not have lots of useful information. And there is a lot of information I have not covered in this review. (What about those miniature submarines, were they a good idea?) But, the book deserved better editing.
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Reviewed in the United States on January 8, 2024
Zimm brings experience as a professional military man to bear on the decisions, the execution, the defense and the beliefs regarding the attack on Pearl Harbor. He definitively dispels much of the lore and corrects it. Such as Japan's "late declaration of war", the absolute brilliance of the plan itself (it had flaws, of course, all plans do), Nagumo did not fail when not ordering a third strike, and does not rely on Fuchida without supporting facts. He does the same for the American side. He details American gunnery defense as well as fighter opposition and discusses why the Navy was not prepared. Insighst abound regarding war gaming, decision making and cultural understandings.

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J. Rupp
5.0 out of 5 stars Das Ende eines Mythos
Reviewed in Germany on December 29, 2013
Mit dem japanischen Angriff auf die amerikanische Marinebasis von Pearl Harbor, der am 7.12.1941 überraschend erfolgte, verbinden sich bis heute eine ganze Reihe von falschen Vorstellungen und Behauptungen, die sowohl im akademischen Schrifttum als auch in der Populärkultur eine weite Verbreitung gefunden haben. Ein angeblich brillanter Plan sei hervorragend ausgeführt worden und habe die US-Pazifikflotte für ein halbes Jahr paralysiert.
Dass hiervon keine Rede sein kann, belegt der ehemalige Marineoffizier Alan D. Zimm in diesem exzellenten Buch. Mit Hilfe der modernen Operationsanalyse zeigt er im Detail auf, warum die Strategie, die Planung, die Vorbereitung und die Ausführung der Attacke alles andere als vorbildlich waren.
Wie der Autor in seiner Einleitung klar hervorhebt, ist seine Studie keine revisionistische Geschichtsschreibung, sondern eine militärwissenschaftliche Untersuchung, die im Sinne einer Manöver- bzw. Einsatzkritik versucht, die Leistungen und Versäumnisse der beteiligten Akteure herauszuarbeiten. Seine Argumente haben aber sehr wohl erhebliche Konsequenzen für die historische Forschung, die sich in nicht wenigen Bereichen von bislang vertretenen Ansichten verabschieden muss.

Zimm beginnt seine Darlegungen mit einem Paukenschlag, indem er sich sehr kritisch mit dem strategischen Verständnis bzw. Unverständnis von Admiral Yamamoto auseinandersetzt. Dieser sei keineswegs der visionäre Vordenker der modernen Marinefliegerei gewesen, für den er bis heute vielfach gehalten wird. Sein Fokus war vielmehr auf das Versenken von Schlachtschiffen ausgerichtet, die er als die wahren Symbole der maritimen Macht betrachtete. Yamamotos Hauptziel bestand deshalb in der Ausschaltung der amerikanischen Schlachtschiffe und eben nicht in der Vernichtung von deren Flugzeugträgern.
Aus diesem Grund spielte die An- oder Abwesenheit der US-Träger in Pearl Harbor für ihn keine entscheidende Rolle. Wichtig war aus seiner Sicht nur, dass einige der Schlachtschiffe versenkt oder schwer beschädigt würden. Yamamoto erhoffte sich hiervon zum einen, dass die amerikanische Bevölkerung derart geschockt wäre, dass ihre Politiker keinen Willen mehr aufbringen könnten, um einen langen und kostspieligen Krieg gegen das "Reich der aufgehenden Sonne“ zu führen. Zum anderen versprach er sich einen Zeitgewinn von einem halben Jahr. Dies sollte den japanischen Streitkräften die Möglichkeit eröffnen, ihre Eroberungen im asiatisch-pazifischen Raum ungestört zu konsolidieren.
In beiden Punkten irrte er sich gewaltig. Die amerikanische Reaktion auf den unerwarteten Angriff bestand in einem einhelligen Ruf nach Vergeltung und Abrechnung mit dem als besonders hinterhältig empfundenen Aggressor. Der vermeintliche Zeitgewinn war gleichfalls eine Chimäre, weil die US-Pazifikflotte wegen ihrer logistischen Beschränkungen ohnehin nicht in der Lage gewesen wäre, die erste Phase des japanischen Eroberungsfeldzuges zu verhindern.
Die Attacke auf Pearl Harbor war also operativ unnötig und strategisch völlig kontraproduktiv.

Wie ihr Oberkommandierender bekommen auch die für die Angriffsplanung und Umsetzung hauptverantwortlichen Offiziere, Genda und Fuchida, ein schlechtes Zeugnis ausgestellt. Den beiden Marinefliegern unterliefen bei der Vorbereitung und Durchführung der gewagten Operation derart viele Fehler, dass es schon der groben amerikanischen Fahrlässigkeit bedurfte, um noch einen taktischen Erfolg zu erzielen.
So gab es kein koordiniertes Vorgehen der eingesetzten Kräfte. Die Jagdflugzeuge, Torpedo-, Horizontal- und Sturzkampfbomber operierten unabhängig voneinander, ohne sich gegenseitig zu unterstützen. Vor allem die langsamen Torpedobomber, die für die Attacke auf die Schlachtschiffe unentbehrlich waren, hätten die Jäger als Geleitschutz gut gebrauchen können. So aber waren sie gezwungen, ihren gefährlichen Auftrag alleine auszuführen.
Die technisch begrenzten Kommando- und Kommunikationsmittel wurden ebenfalls schlecht genutzt oder gleich ganz ignoriert. Die Piloten waren hierdurch weitgehend auf sich selbst gestellt. Zudem verlief die Zielauswahl und Zielerfassung suboptimal. Die Flugbesatzungen mussten unter Gefechtsbedingungen und eingeschränkten Sichtverhältnissen ihre Ziele richtig erkennen und zuordnen, womit nicht wenige überfordert waren. Außerdem überlagerten sich die Flugruten der angreifenden Maschinen und deren zeitliche Abstimmung ließ mehr als zu wünschen übrig.
Das Hauptproblem bestand jedoch darin, dass die Japaner generell zu unflexibel waren. Anstatt ihre Planungen und Vorbereitungen an sich verändernde Umstände anzupassen, behielten sie diese unverändert bei. Beispielsweise spielte es für sie kaum eine Rolle, ob der Überraschungseffekt noch gegeben war oder nicht. Auch Genda und Fuchida, die der Vernichtung der amerikanischen Träger einen größeren Stellenwert einräumten als Yamamoto, reagierten nicht auf die kurz vor dem Angriffsbeginn erhaltene Nachricht, dass die Träger nicht im Hafen waren. Sie hielten stattdessen an der unrealistischen Annahme fest, dass diese vielleicht doch noch während der Attacke vor Ort sein würden.

Dass der Angriff überraschend erfolgen konnte, lag auch weniger am Geschick der Japaner, als vielmehr am Unvermögen der Amerikaner. Diese hatten am Tag der Attacke weder eine adäquate Luftaufklärung betrieben, noch die Luftverteidigungskapazitäten von Armee und Marine in erhöhte Alarmbereitschaft versetzt. Obwohl Warnungen über eine Kriegsgefahr vorlagen, veranlassten weder Admiral Kimmel noch Generalleutnant Short an jenem schicksalhaften Sonntag eine der Lage entsprechende Wachsamkeit und Kampfbereitschaft ihrer Einheiten.
Selbst die Aufklärungsflugzeuge und Mini-U-Boote, welche die Japaner in unverantwortlicher Weise vor ihrem Angriffsbeginn losgeschickt hatten, blieben unentdeckt oder wurden von höherer Stelle nicht als eine unmittelbar drohende Gefahr wahrgenommen. Dies wäre in den Wochen vor dem siebten Dezember wohl nicht der Fall gewesen, weil die US-Streitkräfte auf Hawaii in diesem Zeitraum besser vorbereitet waren. Über ein mangelndes Kriegsglück brauchte sich die japanische Seite daher nicht zu beklagen.
Zimm geht zudem noch auf die Bewertung des angerichteten Schadens durch die Japaner näher ein. Er vergleicht deren Einschätzungen mit dem real angerichteten Schaden. Seine Überlegungen zu häufig anzutreffenden Alternativ-Szenarien sind gleichfalls hochinteressant. So weist er etwa die Vorstellung von einer dritten Angriffswelle zurück, die sich angeblich gegen die Infrastruktur der Flotte hätte richten sollen. Eine solche Angriffswelle war nicht vorgesehen und selbst wenn sie erfolgreich durchgeführt worden wäre, hätte sich der angerichtete Schaden in Grenzen gehalten.
Auch die Versenkung eines Schiffes im Kanal wäre weitgehend unproblematisch verlaufen und hätte die Mobilität der Flotte kaum beeinträchtigt. Die Annahme, dass die US-Kriegsschiffe noch Glück im Unglück hatten, da sie im Hafen attackiert wurden und sich nicht im offenen Gewässer befanden, wird vom Autor ebenfalls zurückgewiesen. Für ihn wären die Schiffe auf hoher See weitaus weniger verwundbar gewesen als in der Enge des Hafens.

Bei der abschließenden Beurteilung der Hauptpersonen kommt lediglich Vizeadmiral Nagumo halbwegs gut weg. Zimm lobt den Kommandeur der Trägerflotte "Kidô Butai“ für seine vorsichtige und überlegte Vorgehensweise. Alle anderen werden von ihm scharf kritisiert.
Die Folgen von Pearl Harbor waren durchaus beachtlich, allerdings nicht in einem materiellen Sinne, sondern in psychologischer Hinsicht. Die Amerikaner setzten ihre Schlachtschiffe nur noch sehr verhalten ein und benötigten eine ganze Zeit, bevor sie sich trauten, diese wieder offensiver zu nutzen. Die Japaner ihrerseits klammerten sich an ihren fragwürdigen Sieg und hofften bis zuletzt, dass es ihnen vielleicht noch einmal vergönnt sein würde, etwas Ähnliches zu erreichen.
Insgesamt gesehen ist es Alan Zimm hervorragend gelungen, einen unbefangenen Blick auf die japanische Attacke zu werfen. Er lässt dabei keinen Stein auf dem anderen und geht jedem Flugzeug, jeder Bombe und jedem Torpedo gewissenhaft nach. Das Ergebnis besteht in einer erfrischenden Neubewertung des Angriffs. Man muss nicht jede Schlussfolgerung von ihm teilen, um sagen zu können, dass sein Buch absolut empfehlenswert ist.

Jürgen Rupp
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C Castleton
3.0 out of 5 stars This one is a problem for a dedicated reader of WWII history.
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on February 27, 2013
This is the absolutely definitive nuts and bolts history of the planning and the attack on Pearl Harbour by a modern American naval officer, and it shows, sometimes to its strength but sadly too often to its weakness.

The endless study of BDA, bomb damage assessment, should have had a samurai sword taken to it by its editor so that more of the context, military, political and diplomatic, could have been treated.

Having said that, it is a quality product physically and has an intellectual rigour which has afforded me insight into the planning of this attack or indeed any WWII attack I would never have got anywhere else. But for such a dramatic event, it can be a real hill climb unless you are a hard-core WWII historical enthuisiast - which I am !
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